@monsterous
· asked the Oraclewill this go up?
Near Mint
Lion OracleBearishMega Darkrai ex - 116/084 · 116/084
ME05: Pitch Black
Near MintConsulted
$375
3 months
$250
1 year
$220
1
3Near MintLion OracleBearishLion OracleAI answer
Bearish
Expect a pullback from the $375 release-window premium as more packs are opened.
Honestly, I wouldn't bet on it going up right now. At $375, you are paying a massive 'new release tax.' The Japanese version of this exact card has already dropped about 25% in the last month, and modern chase cards almost always dip as more people open packs and flood the market with new copies. I highly recommend waiting a few months for the price to settle before picking one up, as you'll likely get it for much cheaper.
Why the Oracle sees it this way
Mega Darkrai ex is positioned as the massive chase card of the Pitch Black set, currently commanding an eye-watering $375 for a raw Near Mint copy. However, this price is built almost entirely on new-release hype rather than established demand, with only a single recorded sale in the last 30 days. When a modern card debuts this high with such thin trading volume, it usually signals a price discovery phase that is about to correct downward. We can look to the Japanese equivalent from the Abyss Eye set for a preview of what's to come. That version is currently trading around $409 but has already dropped about 25% over the last month as initial excitement cooled. The English market typically follows this exact same pattern. As more booster boxes are opened and more copies of this Special Illustration Rare hit the market, supply will inevitably outpace the handful of buyers willing to spend nearly $400 on a raw modern card. Gravity will likely pull this down over the next few months before it finds a stable floor.
Price forecast · Near Mint
Near Mint price forecast
Current observed price · Near Mint
$387.86
Last observed Jul 14, 2026
Oracle target · 3 months
$250
Original target date Oct 12, 2026
Low $200High $300
ObservedForecast
$387.86 on Jul 14, 2026 · 0 observed sales
Solid line is observed price history. The dashed extension and shaded range are the Oracle's estimate, not a guarantee or financial advice.
Liquidity
Very hard to buy or sell
4/100
With only 1 recorded sale in the last month, this card is suffering from extreme illiquidity. Buyers are likely balking at the high initial asking price, waiting for the market to settle.
Key risks · High
New Release Gravity
Modern chase cards almost always experience a 20% to 40% price drop in the months following their release as circulating supply increases.
Price Discovery Phase
With only 1 recent sale, the $375 price tag is untested. It acts more like an ambitious asking price than a true market floor.
Cooling Japanese Counterpart
The Japanese version of this card has already dropped roughly 25% in the last 30 days, strongly suggesting the English version will follow suit.
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